The Columbus Blue Jackets have traded captain Rick Nash, their 2013 third-round draft pick (conditionally) and defensive prospect Steven Delisle to the New York Rangers for center Brandon Dubinsky, center Artem Anisimov, defenseman Tim Erixon and the Rangers’ 2013 first-round draft pick.
I haven’t watched a lot of the Rangers, so let’s stick with the NHL-level numbers as we begin to analyze this trade:
- $7.8MM cap hit through the end of the 2017-18 season. Will be an unrestricted free agent at that time.
- Career NHL stats: 674 games played, 289 goals, 258 assists and 547 points. That’s .43 goals, .38 assists and .81 points per game.
- 2011-12 stats: 75 games played, 30 goals, 29 assists and 59 points. Per game, that’s .40 goals, .39 assists and .79 points.
- $4.2MM cap hit through the end of the 2014-15 season. Will be an unrestricted free agent at that time.
- Career NHL stats: 393 games played, 81 goals, 132 assists, 213 points. That’s .21 goals, .36 assists and .57 points per game.
-2011-12 stats: 77 goals, 10 goals, 24 assists, 34 points. Per game, that’s .13 goals, .31 assists and .44 points.
- $1.875MM cap hit through the end of the 2012-13 season. Will be a restricted free agent.
- Career NHL stats: 244 games played, 46 goals, 62 assists, 108 points. That’s .19 goals, .25 assists and .44 points per game.
- 2011-12 NHL stats: 79 games played, 16 goals, 20 assists, 36 points. Per game, that’s .20 goals, .25 assists and .45 points.
- $1.75MM cap hit through the end of the 2013-14 season. Will be a restricted free agent.
- Career and 2012-12 stats: 18 games played, zero goals, 2 assists, 2 points. Per game, that’s 0 goals, .11 assists and .11 points.
COMPARING THE MONEY
The length of the Nash contract makes a longer term comparison difficult, but the 2012-13 impact is pretty simple to figure out. Nash has a $7.8MM cap hit, and the three ex-Rangers have a $7.825 cap hit.
COMPARING THE CAREER STATISTICS (per game)
Nash: .43 goals, .38 assists and .81 points
The three ex-Rangers: .40 goals, .72 assists and 1.12 points
COMPARING THE 2011-12 STATISTICS (per game)
Nash: .40 goals, .39 assists and .79 points
The three ex-Rangers: .33 goals, .67 assists and 1.0 points
DBJ’s THUMBNAIL ANALYSIS
It’s always a gamble to trade a top-level talent, but I won’t come out and say that the Blue Jackets lost the trade. Not in the least.
The money is roughly even, but the statistics of this trade favor the Blue Jackets. If forced to make a grand pronouncement, the Blue Jackets’ talent pool leveled out considerably. No longer will the CBJ be “Rick Nash and Friends” …it’ll be a cadre of mid-level talents, something I’ve been hoping to see as I think it will make the Blue Jackets harder to defend over the course of the season.
The challenge, of course, is to recognize that Nash is one player and the Rangers gave the Blue Jackets three. It stands to reason that the Blue Jackets will have to displace at least one additional 2011-12 top six forward to make room for the two new ex-Ranger forwards. How much scoring productivity will that displaced player take with them?
Erixon’s presence will make the fight for the last defenseman roster spot (with draftee Ryan Murray and John Moore) all that much more interesting. If nothing else, the Springfield Falcons defense got that much better.
The draft picks are only worth considering when we have a better idea of where they will be in the draft order, but it’s a decent long-term move to stockpile draft first-round picks.
The 2012-13 Blue Jackets are starting to take shape. We’ll have much more to discuss over the days ahead.
What do you think?